As with every area of media, it is always surprised by the fact that important issues related to things happening in Ukraine remain unaddressed. It is not surprising, however, as it is a fact. Western media experienced an incredibly ignorant period between the end of the Cold War and the period of catching up after 9/11. I’m old enough to remember the fashion writers being called in to be on the ground during the US military’s invasion of Afghanistan as a result of how intellectually deficient was the news industry in the years that followed. Entertainment and gossip dominated our focus. I can remember the last few years of the 90s trying to get editors interested in the rise of radical Islamism across the globe with no success. The brave reporting of knowledgeable journalists has led to a significant impact in Ukraine in particular and is appreciated by the locals. But the majority of foreign journalists are younger and lack an understanding of the Cold War pattern recognition.
The study of geography and history abroad was always a weak point in US education, in any case. The editors who assign them think of themselves as the experts in the popular focus, removing any information that is too shocking. Insufficient detail or pattern recognition (such as Kremlin’s behavior throughout the centuries or over decades) they perceive as being akin to conspiracy thinking. Therefore, there was not much desire to believe that the Russians could actually invade. This is why it’s not surprising that the most important threads of truth are omitted in a climate-controlled media environment such as Ukraine. Three of these issues:
Alcoholism is a common problem among Russian soldiers. I’ve observed Russian soldiers in a variety of combat zones and they were all drunk. I also conducted an interview (for in the Wall Street Journal) a tank commander on Georgian soil in 2008 during the invasion. his face was red as well as slurry and slow in speech. I saw a morning roll-call of tank crews. The commander as well as the rest of his troops were all shaking. It’s possible to go on listing but it’s not worth it. Everybody knows that this is accurate or extremely likely. However, it’s not often accepted as fact. Here’s an uncommon reference of an incident in which soldiers destroyed the hospital’s warehouse and stole the medicinal alcohol.
We are all aware of the pervasiveness of alcoholism within Russian life, specifically within the provincial areas. It is not surprising that ill-trained young soldiers from remote areas are deprived and suddenly confronted by hatred and fear of hostile natives, their sadistic superiors, who have to make a choice between murder and being shot for refusing to obey orders vodka is an essential ingredient. Due to the massive amounts, the regular consumption of vodka as well as the inability to deal with complicated machinery, as well as the absurdity (as is evident in instances like the Chornobyl complex) think about the consequences. The higher-ups understand and actually support the behavior. What else can they do to convince men to follow their savage orders? The subsequent war crimes are no surprise.
We haven’t witnessed this kind of brutality in the West since the 19th century, which is the Napoleonic wars, in actuality. It reminds us of the press gangs and the British navy, as well as the enormous rations of rum aboard ships to prevent sailors from committing a rebellion. Then, there are those famous lines from Frederick the Great to his soldiers “Dogs do you think you’ll be able to live forever?” In much of the world, particularly within the Western alliance, there has been an enormous increase in the concern about the lives and living conditions of troops, including the issue of adequate pay and food in war zones. The Russian conscripts come from countries that haven’t seen any modernization even in the civilian world. Here The Moscow Times, is an exuberant account of their lives in Russia, “Collection of scrap metal was a reputable alternative to the theft of small amounts although the metal had to be stolen in the first place. There is a good chance that you know someone who had killed someone. There was a person you knew who had a drink till death (maybe you were your father).”
Germany’s ineffectiveness is still a mystery to everyone. We’ve heard different explanations of why Germany is reluctant to help Ukraine further – realpolitik, corruption as well as war guilt. They are classified into three groups:
A) Dependence on Russian fossil fuels and trade.
B) The shocking but long-running tradition of high-ranking politicians such as Gerhard Schroder, for instance, taking Russian money.
C) Wartime guilt for wartime guilt over the Nazi attack on the Soviet Union. It is certain that all of it is accurate. It is possible to add a variation of the old ‘Ostpolitik’theory, which is the idea that interacting with the Kremlin ultimately helps to improve its civility and improve its behavior. However, for a while, there is no reason to believe that these factors are enough to justify (or provide a rationale for) Germany’s insistence that it does not give Ukraine large-scale weapons, nor its continued enrichment of Moscow’s coffers by petrodollars in the form of. So what else could be in the works?
It is worth considering this Saudi model. Over the course of a century, the West created a model to establish friendly relations with petrostates. We purchase the oil they use, and when they purchase our products as well as invest in our economy. Both parties benefit from the wealth. We do not interfere too much in their internal matters or regional power. There are many reasons why the more united and authoritarian the better, as it means that we only need to contend with only one central authority in each country to access its natural resources effectively. It is a matter of having a solid stomach, not to mention the most blatant hypocrisy. Take a look at our relationship with Venezuela. George W. Bush essentially made a deal to keep the Chavez regime through a deal during the Iraq conflict: we will give us continuous oil supply, and we’ll let you go. Another instance is Nigeria where the federal government stripped local tribes of their oil and gave them very little in exchange. Sometimes they protest and horrors occur, such as Biafra from the late 1960s, but there is no change. We have allowed Russia to profit from this model to its fullest.
There’s a second dimension, which is not ever mentioned. It’s the Russian Federation, as the Soviet Union, that remains an unstable geographical structure. If it were to happen that it did, it could also be dissolved. If it was allowed to, Caucasus, Chechnya et al could split. The same goes for Tatarstan and Siberia and Siberia, among others. Everyone in the West would like the endless headache of containing the endless conflicts that could arise such as what occurred in the event the Soviets fell. Civil wars, population exchanges, or the dread of negotiating new trade agreements particularly over oil with each statelet becoming more fragile. Take a look. New pipelines? The nuclear substances that would be filtered out? Then from Bill Clinton onwards, the Western alliance adopted a Moscow-centric strategy towards the entire geo-space. Putin recognized and exploited the West’s problem. Here’s a Twitter message from Casey Michel, a top American author, and expert, that explains the situation.
Keep in mind that for many centuries, and especially throughout the Great Game years, this was the principle of operation of the foreign policy of Moscow’s Strategic depth. You build endless buffer zones to prevent the core of Moscow from separating. When you let, say, Georgia grows too influential It will bring the Caucasus with it, and Astrakhan is next, after that Tatarstan as well as Bashkiria and the list goes on. Poor Tbilisi as a pro-Western democracy believed it would gain more support in the aftermath of its 2008 Russian invasion. This didn’t happen. Actually, the West was a part of Russia’s geo-strategy as it was used in the past. Then, in unison, Putin’s assault on Crimea, Donbas, and the entirety of Ukraine came to pass. That’s the dark secret behind Germany’s and even the West’s previously sluggish response to Putin’s repeated aggression. It’s finally time to look at the bigger problem of let Russia disintegrate to its natural, stable proportions.
Sabotage is the norm in Russia. Nobody is claiming responsibility Most observers attribute the sabotage to Ukrainian militants operating behind lines. It is believed that the Kremlin obviously accuses British SAS commandos in fear of giving praise on Ukrainian bravery. In addition, the misinformation implies that it is Russia against Nato. However, this concept isn’t going to stand the test of time. Since April 1, Ukrainians attacked targets in Belgorod believed to have been hit through helicopters. We’ve also seen an increase in the frequency of explosions and mysterious fires. There is a research facility here, and a military school there. There is no doubt that the SAS as well as other organizations have offered assistance, instruction for explosives and stealth approach rapid extraction, and other such things.
If it’s a long-term campaign, however, the risks will exceed the rewards if the targets don’t yield major strategic advantages. In the case of Kyiv, destroying the fuel supply in the vicinity of Bryansk is a clear tactical choice and the war in the field continues to play out in Kyiv’s direction. However, there isn’t a governing body to sound the alarm and bring the war to an end at any moment the war could go on for a long time, just as it did in Syria. The long-term, attritional situation favors Moscow due to the constant missile attacks from afar, including randomly directed across the entire country, at Kharkiv, Lviv, newly returned zones, such as Kherson should take its toll. Putin will merely stop Ukraine from returning to normal life for the time being.
This is the place where the sabotage operation in Russia could alter the balance. It’s possibly all that could. The seemingly random targeting is logical if you think about the implications. The war is brought home in a tangible way as Moscow can’t hide from the war forever. Psychologically speaking, the populace will feel the fear of not being able to defend themselves and wondering what is going to happen next and when. They will begin to doubt the authority of their leaders and begin to lose faith in the media’s propaganda. Russia is a huge country and is difficult to secure across different time zones. In the top ranks, cracks are bound to be seen, just as they have. The Defense Minister at first Sergei Shoigu was distanced (some reports claim he was detained) Then he was seen talking to Putin while the latter sat at the table with a shaky hand. Different intelligence officials continue to receive their treatment. Now it’s becoming apparent that the military chiefs of Russia are furious at being restricted and aren’t allowed to mobilize the entire nation to fight on full scale. It’s their turn to accuse their adversaries within the elite, particularly the intelligence services who are pushing for a more specific campaign that plays into the weaknesses of the army.
In short, the regime of Putin exposes the dangers of any dictatorship in extremes such as suspicion, mutual distrust as well as indecision from an old boss, and a savage fight. Putin himself is sure to oppose any total war strategy because it puts generals in a position of central power capable of overthrowing his own. They might even be able to remove him. This is then the advantage of a larger, more comprehensive strategy to sabotage inside Russia in which power groups begin to distrust one another and the central government begins to question the legitimacy of regional alliances, and the enemies within become the main focus. In a short time, ethnic groups begin to bridle the demands. In the end, the beast will consume its tail as they have always done.